Global Governance and Development: Great Transformations in the Global Economy

[Translate to English:] Universität Duisburg-Essen, WS 2013/2014

Dirk Messner
Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE)
Tel.: +49 228 94927-110 (-111)
Email: dirk.messner@remove-this.die-gdi.de
Homepage: www.die-gdi.de

15. October, 9.00 – 12.30

a)      Introduction: Why the “new globalization” started in the mid 1980s

Angus Maddison (2002): The West and the rest of the international economic order, Paris
Joseph Nye/John Donahue (2000): Introduction: Governance in a globalizing world, in: Joseph Donahue / Joseph Nye (Hrsg.): Governance in a globalizing World, Washington, 1-41*

b)     Three waves of global change: Transformation of the global economy towards 2030/50
        Dirk, Messner (2011): Three waves of global change – The dynamics of global governance in 
        the first half of the 21st century, in:  Thomas Fues/LIU Youfa (eds.), Global governance and
        building a harmonious world: a comparison of European and Chinese concepts for international
        affairs
(Bonn: Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik / German Development Institute, 
        Studies 62), 9-38*

        Raphael Kaplinsky/ Dirk Messner (2008): The Impact of Asian Drivers onthe Developing World,           Special Issue, World Development, Nr. 2,197-209

        Paul Kennedy (1989): The rise and fall of great powers, New York

        Charles Kupchan et al. (2001): Power in transition. The peaceful change of the international 
        order, Tokio/ New York

        OECD (2010): Perspectives on global development 2010. Shifting wealth, Paris (executive 
        summary)*

        Carmen Reinhart/ Kenneth Rogoff (2009): This time is different. Eight centuries of financial
        folly, Princeton, 203-247

        Wolfgang Streeck (2011): The Crisis in Context. Democratic Capitalism and Its  
        Contradictions.

        World Bank Indicators

        World Bank, GNI per capita Atlas

        More data: www.unctad.org; www.undp.org

11 November, 9 – 12.30 (Monday, at DIE in Bonn)

Three waves of global change

Three different perspectives on globalization

         Jagdish Bhagwati, J. (2004); In defense of globalization, Oxford*

         Justin Lin (2010): New structural economics. A framework for rethinking development, World  
         Bank Policy Research Paper 5197, Washington*

       
         Joseph Stiglitz (2007): Globalization and its discontents, W. W. Norton, New York

         Fitoussi, Jean-Paul / Joseph E. Stiglitz (2011): Chairmen’s summary, in: Jean-Paul Fitoussi /
         Joseph E. Stiglitz and the Paris Group (eds): The G20 and recovery and beyond. New York
         5-29; 33-38*

a)     From divergence to convergence in the new global economy?

         Subramanian, Arvind: Introduction, in: Arvind Subramanian (2011). Eclipse. Living in the
         Shadow of China’s Economic, Washington D.C., 1 - 12*

         Subramanian, Arvind: Forces driving dominance: convergence and gravity, in: Arvind
         Subramanian (2011). Eclipse. Living in the Shadow of China’s Economic, Washington D.C.,
         69 – 94*

         Subramanian, Arvind: Projecting economies and currency dominance, in: Arvind 
         Subramanian (2011). Eclipse. Living in the Shadow of China’s Economic, Washington D.C.,
         99 – 115

         Subramanian, Arvind: China as the new raison d’être for reviving multilateralism, in: Arvind
         Subramanian (2011). Eclipse. Living in the Shadow of China’s Economic, Washington D.C.,
         169 – 187

         Spence, Michael: The global economy and developing countries, in:

         Michael Spence (2011). The Next Convergence. The future of economic growth in a
         multispeed world. New York, 3-25*

         Spence, Michael: The high-growth developing countries in the postwar period, in: Michael
         Spence (2011). The Next Convergence. The future of economic growth in a multispeed
         world. New York, 53-70

         Spence, Michael: China’s structural challenge, in: Michael Spence (2011). The Next
         Convergence. The future of economic growth in a multispeed world. New York, 194-205

         Spence, Michael: Global Governance in a multispeed world, in: Michael

         Spence (2011). The Next Convergence. The future of economic growth in a multispeed
         world. New York, 247-273*

Presentations

 
29. November, 9.00 – 12.30

a)     The new global poverty map … and the new global middle classes: 

        Impacts on international politics? Andy Sumner (2010): Global poverty and the new bottom billion, Brighton, IDS
        Working Papers Volume 2010, Issue 349, 1–43*

        Homi Kharas (2010): The emerging middle class in developing countries, OECD Development Centre Working Paper
        No. 285, 2012*

        Andy Sumner (2012): Beyond Low and Middle Income Countries: What if There Were Five Clusters of Developing
        Countries? IDS Working Papers Volume 2012, No. 404*

b)     How does markets work? The role of institutions, rules, and human behaviour – different perspectives?

        George Akerlof/ Robert Shiller (2009): Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It 
        Matters for Global Capitalism. Frankfurt/ New York, 29-92*

        Milton Friedman (1990): Free too choose, New York*

        Ostrom, Elinor (2003): Toward a behavioural theory of linking trust, reciprocity, and reputation, in: Elinor Ostrom/
        James Walker (2003) (eds.): Trust and reciprocity, New York, 19-79*

14. January, 9.00 – 12.30

a)     The great transformation towards sustainability

        German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU) (2011): World in transition – A social contract for sustainability,
        Berlin

        Leggewie, Claus/ Dirk Messner (2012): The low-carbon transformation—A social science perspective, in: Journal of
        Renewable and Sustainable Energy, Vol. 4, Issue 4*

        Additional material:

        WBGU Symposium on “Low Carbon Prosperity” (summary, papers, videos)

        Virtual WBGU - lectures on the “Great transformation towards sustainability”

b)      Development within the planetary boundaries: Green Growth? No

        Growth? Low Carbon Society? … Comparing Green Transformation   

        Strategies

        Jackson, Tim (2009): Prosperity without Growth, London

        OECD (2011): Towards green growth, Paris

        UNEP (2011): Towards a green economy, Nairobi

        Worldbank (2012): Inclusive green growth, Washington (Please read the executive summary)*

Presenations


28. January, 9.00 – 12.30

Messner, Dirk / Alejandro Guarín / Daniel Haun (2013): The Behavioural Dimensions of International Cooperation, Duisburg

Messner, Dirk: Long term dynamics in the global economy – A challenge for policy makers and political science

a)      Long term dynamics in the global economy and in the Earth system 

          – challenges for global governance

         1)      Long term innovation dynamics during the last 12.000 years

          Fogel, Robert W. (1999): Catching Up with the Economy, in The   

          American Economic Review, Vol. 89, No. 1, S.1-21 *

         2)      From the industrial revolution to the transformation towards sustainability

          German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU) (2011): World in 

          transition – A social contract for sustainability, Berlin

          3)      Long term dynamics in the Earth system

          Lenton, Timothy et al (2007): Tipping Elements in the Earth`s Climate

          system. in: PNAS, Jg. 105/6, S. 1786-1793*

         Johann Rockström (2009): A safe operating Space for Humanity, Nature,

         Vol. 461, 24 September, 472-475*

         Messner, Dirk/ John Schellnhuber/ Stefan Rahmstorf/ Daniel Klingenfeld 

         (2010): The budget approach: A framework for a global transformation 

         toward a low-carbon economy, in: Journal of Renewable and

         Sustainable Energy, Vol. 2, Nr. 3*

         Williams, Mark / Jan Zalasiewicz,/ Alan Haywood /Mike Ellis (eds) (2011):

         Special Theme Issue 'The Anthropocene: a new epoch of geological 

         time?' Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 369, 842-867

31 January, 14.00 – 17.00

        Messner, Dirk: Cooperation in a globalized world – Can global governance work a

        world society of 9 billion people? Meta, macro and micro 

        perspectives, Part I and Part II

        Bremmer, Ian: What is the G-Zero?, in: Ian Bremmer (2012): Every

        nation for itself. Winners and losers in a G-Zero World. New York, 7-35*

        Bremmer, Ian: What comes next?, in: Ian Bremmer (2012): Every nation

        for itself. Winners and losers in a G-Zero World. New York, 151 - 184

        Mearsheimer, John (2004): Why China`s rise will not be peaceful

        Chicago*

        Elinor Ostrom (1999): Revisiting the commons. Local lessons, global

        challenges, in: Science, Vol. 284, No. 5412, 278-282*

        Martin Nowak (2011): Super co-operators. Evolution, altruism and

        human behaviour, New York, preface, 1-20*, 267-284

        Tomasello, Michael (2009): Why we cooperate. Cambridge.          

        Messner, Dirk / Alejandro Guarin / Daniel Haun (2013): The behavioral 

        dimensions of international cooperation. Discussion Paper, No. 1, Käte 

        Hamburger Kolleg /

        Centre for Global Cooperation Research, Duisburg.

7. February, 10:00 – 14:00

Final Discussion

(*) needs to be read