Universität Duisburg-Essen, WS 2012/2013

23 October, 9.00 – 12.30

a) Introduction: Why the “new globalization” started in the mid 1980s

Angus Maddison (2002): The West and the rest of the international economic order, Paris
Joseph Nye/ John Donahue (2000): Introduction: Governance in a globalizing world, in: Joseph Donahue/ Joseph Nye (Hrsg.): Governance in a globalizing world, Washington, 1-41*

b) Three waves of global change: Transformation of the global economy towards 2030/50

Dirk, Messner (2011): Three waves of global change – The dynamics of global governance in the first half of the 21^st century, in: Thomas Fues / LIU Youfa (eds.), Global governance and building a harmonious world: a comparison of European and Chinese concepts for international affairs (Bonn: Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik / German Development Institute, Studies 62), 9-38*

Raphael Kaplinsky/ Dirk Messner (2008): The Asian Drivers of global change, Special Issue, World Development, Nr. 2, 197-209
Paul Kennedy (1989): The rise and fall of great powers, New York
Charles Kupchan et al. (2001): Power in transition. The peaceful change of the international order, Tokio/ New York
OECD (2010): Perspectives on global development 2010. Shifting wealth, Paris (executive summary)
Carmen Reinhart/ Kenneth Rogoff (2009): This time is different. Eight centuries of financial folly, Princeton, 203-247*
Wolfgang Streeck (2011): The crisis in context. Democratic capitalism and its contradictions. MPIfG Discussion Paper 11/15, Köln: Max-Planck-Institut für Gesellschaftsforschung, 2011




World Bank Indicators
World Bank, GNI per capita Atlas
More data: www.unctad.org; www.undp.org

27 November, 9.00 – 12.30

a) The new global poverty map … and the new global middle classes: Impacts on international politics?

Andy Sumner (2010): Global poverty and the new bottom billion, Brighton. IDS Working Papers Volume 2010, Issue 349, 1–43*

Homi Kharas (2010): The emerging middle class in developing countries. OECD Development Centre Working Paper No. 285, 2012*
Andy Sumner (2012): Beyond Low and Middle Income Countries: What if There Were Five Clusters of Developing Countries? IDS Working Papers Volume 2012, No. 404*

b) How does markets work? The role of institutions, rules, and human behaviour – different perspectives?

George Akerlof/ Robert Shiller (2009): Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives the Economy, and Why It Matters for Global Capitalism. Frankfurt/ New York, 29-92*
Milton Friedman (1990): Free too choose, New York*
Ostrom, Elinor (2003): Toward a behavioural theory of linking trust, reciprocity, and reputation, in: Elinor Ostrom/ James Walker (2003) (eds.): Trust and reciprocity, New York, 19-79*

18 December, 9 – 12.30

a) Three different perspectives on globalization

Jagdish Bhagwati, J. (2004): In defense of globalization, Oxford*
Justin Lin (2010): New structural economics. A framework for rethinking development, World Bank Policy Research Paper 5197, Washington*
Joseph Stiglitz (2007): Globalization and its discontents, W. W. Norton, New York
Fitoussi, Jean-Paul / Joseph E. Stiglitz (2011): Chairmen’s summary, in: Jean-Paul Fitoussi / Joseph E. Stiglitz and the Paris Group (eds): The G20 and recovery and beyond. New York 5-29; 33-38*


b) From divergence to convergence in the new global economy?

Subramanian, Arvind: Introduction, in: Arvind Subramanian (2011). Eclipse. Living in the Shadow of China’s Economic, Washington D.C., 1 - 12*
Subramanian, Arvind: Forces driving dominance: convergence and gravity, in: Arvind Subramanian (2011). Eclipse. Living in the Shadow of China’s Economic, Washington D.C., 69 – 94*
Subramanian, Arvind: Projecting economies and currency dominance, in: Arvind Subramanian (2011). Eclipse. Living in the Shadow of China’s Economic, Washington D.C., 99 – 115
Subramanian, Arvind: China as the new raison d’être for reviving multilateralism, in: Arvind Subramanian (2011). Eclipse. Living in the Shadow of China’s Economic, Washington D.C., 169 – 187

Spence, Michael: The global economy and developing countries, in: Michael Spence (2011). The Next Convergence. The future of economic growth in a multispeed world. New York, 3-25*
Spence, Michael: The high-growth developing countries in the postwar period, in: Michael Spence (2011). The Next Convergence. The future of economic growth in a multispeed world. New York, 53-70
Spence, Michael: China’s structural challenge, in: Michael Spence (2011). The Next Convergence. The future of economic growth in a multispeed world. New York, 194-205
Spence, Michael: Global Governance in a multispeed world, in: Michael Spence (2011). The Next Convergence. The future of economic growth in a multispeed world. New York, 247-273*

11 January, 8:30 – 12.00

a) The great transformation towards sustainability

German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU) (2011): World in transition – A social contract for sustainability, Berlin
Leggewie, Claus/ Dirk Messner (2012): The low-carbon transformation—A social science perspective, in: Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy, Vol. 4, Issue 4*

Additional material:
WBGU Symposium on “Low Carbon Prosperity” (summary, papers, videos)
Virtual WBGU - lectures on the “Great transformation towards sustainability”



b) Development within the planetary boundaries: Green Growth? No Growth? Low Carbon Society? … Comparing Green Transformation Strategies

Jackson, Tim (2009): Prosperity without Growth, London
OECD (2011): Towards green growth, Paris
UNEP (2011): Towards a green economy, Nairobi
Worldbank (2012): Inclusive green growth, Washington (Please read the executive summary)

22 January

a) Long term dynamics in the global economy and in the Earth system – challenges for global governance

1) Long term innovation dynamics during the last 12.000 years

Fogel, Robert W. (1999): Catching up with the Economy, in: The American Economic Review, Vol. 89, No. 1, S.1-21*

2) From the industrial revolution to the transformation towards sustainability

WBGU (2011): World in transition – A social contract for sustainability, Chapter 3, Berlin

3) Long term dynamics in the Earth system

Lenton, Timothy et al (2007): Tipping Elements in the Earth`s Climate system: in: PNAS, Jg. 105/6, S. 1786-1793*

Johann Rockström (2009): A safe operating Space for Humanity, in: Nature, Vol. 461, 24 September, 472-475*
Messner, Dirk/ John Schellnhuber/ Stefan Rahmstorf/ Daniel Klingenfeld (2010): The budget approach: A framework for a global transformation toward a low-carbon economy, in: Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy, Vol. 2, Nr. 3*
Williams, Mark / Jan Zalasiewicz,/ Alan Haywood /Mike Ellis (eds) (2011): Special Theme Issue 'The Anthropocene: a new epoch of geological time?' Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, 369, 842-867

Messner, Dirk: Long term dynamics in the global economy – A challenge for policy makers and political science (PowerPoint Präsentation)

5 February, 9.00 – 12.30

Cooperation in a globalized world – Can global governance work a world society of 9 billion people? Meta, macro and micro perspectives
Bremmer, Ian: What is the G-Zero?, in: Ian Bremmer (2012): Every nation for itself. Winners and losers in a G-Zero World. New York, 7-35*
Bremmer, Ian: What comes next?, in: Ian Bremmer (2012): Every nation for itself. Winners and losers in a G-Zero World. New York, 151 - 184
Mearsheimer, John (2004): Why China`s rise will not be peaceful, Chicago*
Elinor Ostrom (1999): Revisiting the commons. Local lessons, global challenges, in: Science, Vol. 284, No. 5412, 278-282*
Martin Nowak (2011): Super co-operators. Evolution, altruism and human behaviour, New York, preface, 1-20*, 267-284
Tomasello, Michael (2009): Why we cooperate. Cambridge.

Messner, Dirk: Global Cooperation multiple perspectives

(*) needs to be read