Analysing the effect of climate policies on poverty through employment channels

Malerba, Daniele / Kirsten Svenja Wiebe
Externe Publikationen (2021)

in: Environmental Research Letters 16(3), first published 09.03.2021

DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd3d3
Open access

The recently proposed Green Deals and 'building back better' plans have affirmed the importance to make green transitions inclusive. This is particularly related to the labour market, which may witness significant changes. Empirically, this issue has until now received limited attention. The links between poverty and climate change are explored mainly through the lenses of climate change adaptation, or via the effects of rising energy prices on the purchasing power of poor households. We aim to address this gap by using results from a simulation of the global energy transition required to meet the 2-degree target, and compare this to a 6-degree baseline scenario. The simulation with a multi-regional input–output model finds that, overall, this transition results in a small net job increase of 0.3% globally, with cross-country heterogeneity. We complement this macro-level analysis with cross-country household data to draw implications of the effects on poverty through labour market outcomes. The few job losses will be concentrated in specific industries, while new jobs will be created in industries that currently witness relatively high in-work poverty rates, such as construction. We show that high in-work poverty in the industries of interest, and especially in middle-income countries, is often associated with low skills and an insufficient reach of social protection mechanisms. We conclude that green transitions must ensure that the jobs created are indeed decent including fair wages, adequate working conditions, sufficient social protection measures, and accessible to the vulnerable and poorest households.

Über den Autor

Malerba, Daniele

Ökonomie

Malerba

Weitere Expert*innen zu diesem Thema

Aleksandrova, Mariya

Climate risk governance 

Balasubramanian, Pooja

Sozioökonomie 

Bauer, Steffen

Politikwissenschaftler 

Beck, Tanja

Politikwissenschaft 

Brandi, Clara

Ökonomie und Politikwissenschaft 

Brehm, Johannes

Ökonomie 

Brüntrup, Michael

Agrarökonomie 

Burchi, Francesco

Entwicklungsökonomie 

Dippel, Beatrice

Komparatistik 

Hägele, Ramona

Politikwissenschaftlerin 

Iacobuta, Gabriela

Umweltwissenschaftlerin 

Lehmann, Ina

Politikwissenschaft 

Mathis, Okka Lou

Politikwissenschaftlerin 

Rodríguez de Francisco, Jean Carlo

Ökologische Ökonomie 

Schraven, Benjamin

Politikwissenschaftler 

Srigiri, Srinivasa Reddy

Agrarökonom